By Pete Smits
Information
is everywhere, coming from multiple sources in real-time. The best thing we
can give you is educated opinions to compare with your own and that of the
other sources you use. The Grab-Bag has a track record that speaks for itself,
but opinions are exactly that – opinions. This is a predictive column based on
our best information available, and the Crystal Ball usually works well. The
Grab-Bag strives to keep you at least one week ahead of your competition by
screening the one week wonders and separating them from the future stars.
For any
newcomers out there ---once the regular season starts, the Grab-Bag column by
itself is available Monday mornings during the season with the first and
earliest opinions on worthwhile pick-ups for the upcoming week. The extended
version of the Grab-Bag arrives in the Weekly Report, available Wednesday
evening. In this version of the column, changes and additions from Monday
morning are italicized and occasionally highlighted in bold or red type as
appropriate.
One unique aspect of this column is, in fact, how early we make suggestions for
the following week. At all times, these will be before your league's waiver
wire deadlines and, depending on your own opinions, may lead you to grab a key
player one week before the rest of your league has been alerted.
So,
let’s get started on a winning season…..
GRAB
‘EM
QUARTERBACKS
Derek
Anderson, Arizona Cardinals
The
Cardinals could not have made Anderson's status as starting QB more official with
this week's release of former first round draft choice (10th overall in 2006)
Matt Leinart. To this day, Anderson's reputation as anything resembling an
adequate FF quarterback is based on a streak of good performances against
terrible pass defenses in 2007. Nevertheless, if you need a surprise starter,
ideally in leagues where you can start two QB's, Anderson could be a
respectable play in Week One at St. Louis.
Sam
Bradford, St. Louis Rams
The Rams
will put the first selection in the 2010 draft into action from Week One
forward when they host the Cardinals in the opener. Bradford has picked up NFL
offensive and defensive schemes quickly, and has all of the physical and mental
skills necessary to make the best of an always tough assignment for a rookie.
The Rams have the next to easiest schedule in the NFL based on 2009 results
(.449 winning percentage for opponents), and if your roster allows you to stash
Bradford to wait for the right match-up he should post some respectable numbers
over the second half of the season.
Josh
Freeman, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The
athletic, speedy second year QB from Kansas State was a trendy dark horse pick
in the early preseason before fracturing the tip of his thumb on a helmet a few
weeks ago. All indications are that Freeman will be ready for the Bucs opener
hosting the Cleveland Browns, making an opening week FF start within the bounds
of possibility. He has outstanding physical skills and has a presence on the
field that suggests he will very comfortable in the league, posting nice
numbers through the air and on the ground.
RUNNING
BACKS
Along
with the usual opening week developments, there are two RB tandems in Cleveland and Oakland where the present and potential starting backs have arguably
increased in value.
Jerome
Harrison, Cleveland Browns
With
rookie running back Montario Hardesty out for the season with a torn ACL, the sensation of late 2009 has the starting job for now. Harrison posted 570 yards over the
past four games of the season, all job-saving wins for HC Eric Mangini.
Reading between the lines, the Browns are not content to place their backfield
firmly in the hands of the 5-9, 198 lbs. 5th year back from Washington State, meaning that an alert FF owner should also consider....
Peyton
Hillis, Cleveland Browns
The
Browns acquired the versatile 6-2, 250 lbs. former Arkansas fullback (where he
shared the backfield with Darren McFadden and Felix Jones) from the Broncos in
the offseason. Hillis has good hands and has a surprising burst for someone
his size. The starting job is Harrison's to lose, but Hillis will be in the
mix regardless. During the worst of the Broncos' backfield injuries, Hillis
handled every down carries with good results and could do so again if called
upon in 2010.
Darren
McFadden, Oakland Raiders
It looks
like starting RB Michael Bush will not be available for at least the
first few weeks of the regular season after fracturing his thumb during the
preseason, giving the starting job back to the disappointing Darren McFadden by
default rather than merit. The offense should be generally energized by the
addition of an actual NFL quarterback in Jason Campbell. The offensive
line does a far better job blocking for the run than the pass. Question marks
abound even for a Week One start for McFadden as he is struggling with a
hamstring injury and faces a good rush defense in Tennessee. Nevertheless, he
is nearing the end of his opportunities to seize an NFL career and, in theory,
should give it everything he has in 2010.
Michael
Bush, Oakland Raiders
Given
McFadden's injury history and Bush's tenacity, the latter will definitely be a
useful back this season and could be back as early as Week Three or Four. The
Raiders were expecting to give Bush every down work along with increased use in
the passing game. Accordingly, we recommend drafting Bush just about where
you would have before his thumb injury, allowing nature and McFadden to take
their usual course.
Justin
Forsett, Seattle Seahawks
With the
“is he or isn’t he released” status of Julius Jones, (and right this second he
has NOT been released by Seattle), the obvious winner is rookie Justin Forsett.
Given the opportunity, the 5-8 194 lbs. Forsett looks like he could post
numbers and results somewhat similar to what Maurice Jones-Drew does for the
Jaguars. Speedy scatback Leon Washington also appears to be near
full-strength and expects to see change-up and third down work, but not enough
to affect the upside for Forsett.
Fred
Taylor, New England Patriots
On one
hand, the former Florida Gator is 34 years old; on the other, Taylor is the
starting running back for the Patriots going into the season, moving ahead of
turnover-prone Laurence Maroney.
WIDE
RECEIVERS
Mike
Williams, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The
rookie from Syracuse came into the league with the dreaded
"character" issues from his time at Syracuse. Williams has put all
of those concerns aside during the preseason with all reports pointing to a
potentially epic rookie season for the muscular 6-2, 221 lbs. receiver. He
continues to be mostly overlooked in many FF drafts to date.
Mike
Williams, Seattle Seahawks
The
former first round pick of the Detroit Lions in 2005 is about to complete one
of the better comebacks in recent memory, moving into the starting line-up in Seattle with the release of WR T.J. Houshmandzadeh. The 6-5, 235 lbs. Williams came into
camp in great shape, caught 10 passes for 177 yards and a TD in the preseason,
and will start opposite veteran Deion Branch.
Patrick
Crayton, San Diego Chargers
Wherever
and whenever holdout wide receiver Vincent Jackson plays in 2010, it
will not be with the Chargers. Meanwhile, the reasonably talented Crayton
escaped a crowded receiving corps in Dallas, and could work his way into slot
receiver duty in San Diego sooner rather than later. With most of the team
talent coming from the passing game, we like Crayton's chances to work his way
into the starting mix along with relatively unproven receivers Malcom Floyd
and Legedu Naanee.
FROM
THE DEEP:
This
section is devoted to deeper leagues to try to give a few names that are still
available and may make an impact later in the year.
Jonathan
Dwyer, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers
The exact
role for the 5-11, 229 lbs. 6th round draft choice from Georgia Tech is not
determined, but given Steeler precedent, there is a good chance that Dwyer
vultures goal line carries from starter Rashard Mendenhall. Mendenhall
is expected to see more passes out of the backfield, which could lead to Dwyer
also giving him a breather on an odd series here and there. This could be one
of those rare situations where a shared backfield increases the value of both
backs, even more so given the likelihood that the Steelers rein the passing
offense in during Roethlisberger's suspension.
Kareem
Huggins, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The 5-9,
198 lbs. 2nd year from Hofstra is rumored to have posted a 4.28 time in the
40-yard dash and is one Cadillac Williams' knee injury away from taking
over starting duties for the Bucs. That sentence alone should lead you to
consider him in the late rounds of your draft or in your first week on the
waiver wire.
Sammie
Stroughter, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Stroughter
posted some nice games towards the end of 2009 and will be starting opposite
rookie Mike Williams in the Tampa Bay offense. Second year QB Josh Freeman
will bring energy to the offense and value to Stroughter as the season
progresses.
Keiland
Williams, RB, Washington Redskins
With
only aging Clinton Portis and Larry Johnson in front of him, this
undrafted rookie from LSU could be the next Mike Shanahan find in the Redskins'
backfield. The 5-11, 230 lbs. Williams has moved into the third slot on the
depth chart, with former Bronco Ryan Torain being assigned to the Washington practice squad. Portis is already ailing going into the season and Johnson has
little, if anything, left in the tank.